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Face_your_fear_79
Metal newbie

Joined: Sun Sep 21, 2014 8:18 am
Posts: 258
Location: United States
PostPosted: Mon Jan 21, 2019 8:42 pm 
 

I was viewing the news on television tonight and the weather report. We just had a storm a few days back that did some damage. Not a lot but not small either. Than the person doing the weather report made the remark something like this...

"Of course after the five day forecast we will be having very cold temperatures"

How do they know this? Do they have a crystal ball or something that makes them know for sure? If it is just a prediction they are making don't they have to tell you this? Seems to me they should tell you its just a prediction if that is what the report is.

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AddWittyUsername
Metal newbie

Joined: Mon Oct 07, 2013 8:40 pm
Posts: 80
Location: Netherlands
PostPosted: Tue Jan 22, 2019 1:07 am 
 

All weather forecasts are predictions in the first place, not guarantees. Not random predictions, of course, but still predictions. There is no way to foretell the weather with 100% accuracy days in advance.

At the same time, forecasts are made for a lot more than the five-day period mentioned in the weather report (albeit the further away, the more likely it is for predictions to change based upon new data observed. A minor difference between the weather forecast for tomorrow versus the actual weather as it occurs tomorrow can mean a significant change to the predictions for, say, next week Tuesday), and presumably the remark made was based upon such a longer forecast.

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Face_your_fear_79
Metal newbie

Joined: Sun Sep 21, 2014 8:18 am
Posts: 258
Location: United States
PostPosted: Tue Jan 22, 2019 1:16 am 
 

Ok. So it is just me. Good to know.

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waiguoren
Veteran

Joined: Tue Jan 27, 2009 8:23 am
Posts: 2626
Location: Umeå, Sweden
PostPosted: Tue Jan 22, 2019 2:23 am 
 

Yes I think it's a safe bet to say it's just you struggling with meteorology over here. Then again, it was on these forums I believe where someone was asking how to cook an egg so who knows.
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BasqueStorm
The Wettest Blanket

Joined: Wed May 26, 2010 2:21 pm
Posts: 4266
Location: Turks and Caicos Islands
PostPosted: Tue Jan 22, 2019 3:40 am 
 

Face_your_fear_79 wrote:
How do they know this?

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Weather_forecasting

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Empyreal
The Final Frontier

Joined: Thu Nov 30, 2006 6:58 pm
Posts: 26022
Location: Where the dead rule the night
PostPosted: Tue Jan 22, 2019 8:28 am 
 

It's all occult devil magic that gives us weather predictions, but don't tell anybody I told you.
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Resident_Hazard
Possessed by Starscream's Ghost

Joined: Thu Oct 07, 2004 2:33 pm
Posts: 2599
Location: United States
PostPosted: Tue Jan 22, 2019 9:54 am 
 

Beyond 5 days, weather forecasting is a much more gray area, per my understanding. That's when history/almanac data is intertwined with what the weather is actually doing. Which, the fucky way the climate is going now, that can be difficult.

Where I live, we've been a good 30-40 degrees (F) warmer than a typical January.
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Jonpo
Hypercolombowler

Joined: Tue Jul 31, 2007 10:05 am
Posts: 7150
PostPosted: Tue Jan 22, 2019 10:09 am 
 

Y'all ever notice weather forecasting and ghost hunting is basically the same profession? XD
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Xenophon
Metalhead

Joined: Wed Aug 13, 2014 12:07 am
Posts: 939
Location: United States
PostPosted: Tue Jan 22, 2019 10:17 am 
 

Atmospheric science is such a joke. Global warming? Lmao. Just add another cold month to the calendar to balance out the extra heat.

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Resident_Hazard
Possessed by Starscream's Ghost

Joined: Thu Oct 07, 2004 2:33 pm
Posts: 2599
Location: United States
PostPosted: Tue Jan 22, 2019 12:50 pm 
 

Jonpo wrote:
Y'all ever notice weather forecasting and ghost hunting is basically the same profession? XD


Meteorologists and weather forecasters use scientific equipment that actually functions and extrapolates on data.

Ghost hunters incorrectly use a variety of gizmos or broken electronics and call it evidence of ghosts.

Yeah, totally the fucking same.
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Jonpo
Hypercolombowler

Joined: Tue Jul 31, 2007 10:05 am
Posts: 7150
PostPosted: Tue Jan 22, 2019 1:00 pm 
 

*whoosh*
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Resident_Hazard
Possessed by Starscream's Ghost

Joined: Thu Oct 07, 2004 2:33 pm
Posts: 2599
Location: United States
PostPosted: Tue Jan 22, 2019 1:06 pm 
 

Jonpo wrote:
*whoosh*


Surely there is a better analogy. Even for a joke.

I mean, a major part of weather forecasting is predicting the future. You could have at least gone with psychics or Tarot readers.
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Jonpo
Hypercolombowler

Joined: Tue Jul 31, 2007 10:05 am
Posts: 7150
PostPosted: Tue Jan 22, 2019 1:07 pm 
 

Hahah okay. I'm sorry the joke you didn't understand wasn't written to your specifications. I'll try to do better next time.
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Metantoine
Big Beautiful Famgot

Joined: Sat Jun 21, 2008 5:00 pm
Posts: 11744
Location: In the Rectory
PostPosted: Tue Jan 22, 2019 1:49 pm 
 

Resident_Hazard must be fun at parties.
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Morrigan
Crone of War

Joined: Sat Aug 10, 2002 7:27 am
Posts: 9586
Location: Canada
PostPosted: Tue Jan 22, 2019 2:42 pm 
 

This thread is brain poison.
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